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dc.contributor.author | Arenas Jal, Andreu |
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dc.contributor.author | Calsamiglia, Caterina |
dc.contributor.author | Loviglio, Annalisa |
dc.date | 2021-04-29T05:41:51Z |
dc.date | 2021-04-29T05:41:51Z |
dc.date | 2021 |
dc.identifier | http://hdl.handle.net/2445/176873 |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2445/176873 |
dc.description | The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 inhibited face-to-face education and constrained exam taking. In many countries worldwide, high-stakes exams happening at the end of the school year determine college admissions. This paper investigates the impact of using historical data of school and high-stakes exams results to train a model to predict high-stakes exams given the available data in the Spring. The most transparent and accurate model turns out to be a linear regression model with high school GPA as the main predictor. Further analysis of the predictions reflect how high-stakes exams relate to GPA in high school for different subgroups in the population. Predicted scores slightly advantage females and low SES individuals, who perform relatively worse in high-stakes exams than in high school. Our preferred model accounts for about 50% of the out-of-sample variation in the high-stakes exam. On average, the student rank using predicted scores differs from the actual rank by almost 17 percentiles. This suggests that either high-stakes exams capture individual skills that are not measured by high school grades or that high-stakes exams are a noisy measure of the same skill. |
dc.format | 50 p. |
dc.format | application/pdf |
dc.language | eng |
dc.publisher | Institut d’Economia de Barcelona |
dc.relation | Reproducció del document publicat a: https://ieb.ub.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Doc2021-04.pdf |
dc.relation | IEB Working Paper 2021/04 |
dc.relation | [WP E-IEB21/04] |
dc.rights | cc-by-nc-nd, (c) Arenas Jal et al., 2021 |
dc.rights | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/ |
dc.rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
dc.subject | COVID-19 |
dc.subject | Avaluació dels estudiants |
dc.subject | Anàlisi de regressió |
dc.subject | COVID-19 |
dc.subject | Rating of students |
dc.subject | Regression analysis |
dc.title | What is a stake without high-stakes exams? Students’ evaluation and admission to college at the time of Covid-19 |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper |