AQR (Grup d’Anàlisi Quantitativa Regional)

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Els materials de recerca de la Universitat de Barcelona (UB) a RECERCAT s'obtenen de les col·leccions de Recerca del Dipòsit Digital de la UB.
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Política d’accés obert a la UB


Publicacions en accés obert derivades de l'activitat investigadora del professorat de la Universitat de Barcelona.

Recent Submissions

Llista ítems afegits recenment

Language of Instruction, Bilingualism, and Neighbourhood Quality: Do Local Language Skills Matter? 

Di Paolo, Antonio (Publication date: 2025-10-29)

This paper investigates whether acquiring proficiency in a local language improves neighbourhood quality in a bilingual region, focusing on Catalonia, Spain. The analysis uses rich microdata linked to census-tract measures ...

Emissions and Allowances in the EU Emissions Trading System after the Paris Agreement 

Cilekoglu, Akin A. (Publication date: 2024-04-09)

In this paper, I examine how allowances allocation affected emissions of power sector installations in the EU ETS following the Paris Agreements. The dataset I use covers the 2010-2022 period, includes the emissions and ...

Economic determinants of employment sentiment: A socio-demographic analysis for the euro area 

Clavería González, Óscar; Lolic, Ivana; Monte Moreno, Enric; Torra Porras, Salvador; Sorić, Petar (Publication date: 2020-02-18)

In this study we construct quarterly consumer confidence indicators of unemployment for the euro area using as input the consumer expectations for sixteen socio-demographic groups elicited from the Joint Harmonised EU ...

An application of deep learning for exchange rate forecasting 

Clavería González, Óscar; Monte Moreno, Enric; Sorić, Petar; Torra Porras, Salvador (Publication date: 2022-01-24)

This paper examines the performance of several state-of-the-art deep learning techniques for exchange rate forecasting (deep feedforward network, convolutional network and a long short-term memory). On the one hand, the ...

Mobility, networks and innovation: The role of regions’ absorptive capacity 

Miguélez, Ernest; Moreno Serrano, Rosina (Publication date: 2014-09-30)

The purpose of this paper is to assess the extent to which regions’ absorptive capacity determines knowledge flows’ impact on regional innovation intensity. In particular, it looks at the role of the cross-regional ...

Evolution of business and consumer uncertainty in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic. A sector analysis in 32 European countries 

Clavería González, Óscar (Publication date: 2020-10-14)

This paper examines the evolution of business and consumer uncertainty amid the Coronavirus pandemic in 32 European countries and the European Union (EU). Since uncertainty is not directly observable, we approximate it ...

The distributive effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policies 

Davtyan, Karen (Publication date: 2016-05-17)

The paper evaluates the distributional effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policies for the USA. The distributional effects are evaluated for the overall impact on the income distribution, using Gini index. ...

Migrant Inventors and Environmental-Related Technologies: A Life Cycle Perspective in US MSAs 

Viola, Salvatore; Moreno Serrano, Rosina; Miguélez, Ernest; Consoli, Davide; Perruchas, François (Publication date: 2026-01-20)

One important factor in addressing climate change is the development and deployment of environmental-related, or green, technologies (GT). Environmental-related technologies are distinct, requiring specific conditions to ...

A regional perspective on the accuracy of machine learning forecasts of tourism demand based on data characteristics 

Clavería González, Óscar; Monte Moreno, Enric; Torra Porras, Salvador (Publication date: 2018-04-06)

In this work we assess the role of data characteristics in the accuracy of machine learning (ML) tourism forecasts from a spatial perspective. First, we apply a seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on non-parametric ...

The Business Excellence Attraction Composite Index (BEACI). Design and application to the Municipalities of the Barcelona Province 

Murillo Viu, Joaquín; Romaní Fernández, Javier, 1969-; Suriñach Caralt, Jordi (Publication date: 2014-10-09)

The location of economic activity, in general, and of that of activities of business excellence (high-tech or knowledge-intensive businesses that have a low environmental impact), in particular, is not dependent on one ...

Forecasting Business surveys indicators: neural networks vs. time series models 

Clavería González, Óscar; Torra Porras, Salvador (Publication date: 2014-09-30)

The objective of this paper is to compare different forecasting methods for the short run forecasting of Business Survey Indicators. We compare the forecasting accuracy of Artificial Neural Networks -ANN- vs. three different ...

Tracking positive and negative effects of inequality on long-run growth [WP] 

Castells-Quintana, David; Royuela Mora, Vicente (Publication date: 2014-05-29)

Despite extensive research, there is still controversy on the effects of income inequality on economic growth. The literature proposes several transmission channels through which these effects may take place, and even the ...

Measuring Sovereign Bond Spillover in Europe and the Impact of Rating News 

Claeys, Peter; Vasicek, Borek (Publication date: 2014-10-10)

Although there is by now strong evidence that sovereign risk premia are driven by a common factor, little is known about the detailed linkages between sovereign bond markets. We employ the VAR method by Diebold and Yilmaz, ...

Environmental degradation, income and economic complexity: Evidence from European countries 

Clavería González, Óscar; Sorić, Petar (Publication date: 2026-01-20)

Recent energy tensions caused by conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East have added to the pressure that global warming exerts for an energy transition towards low-carbon energy sources. This study combines two time series ...

Measuring and assessing economic uncertainty 

Clavería González, Óscar (Publication date: 2020-07-25)

This paper evaluates the dynamic response of economic activity to shocks in agents’ perception of uncertainty. The study focuses on the comparison between manufacturers 'and consumers' perception of economic uncertainty. ...

What drives migration moves across urban areas in Spain? Evidence from the Great Recession [WP] 

Melguizo Cháfer, Celia; Royuela Mora, Vicente (Publication date: 2017-10-11)

In Spain, economic disparities between regions have traditionally played a relevant role in migration. Nevertheless, during the previous high-instability period, analyses provided conflicting results about the effect of ...

Skill mismatches in the EU: Immigrants vs. Natives 

Nieto Viramontes, Sandra; Matano, Alessia; Ramos Lobo, Raúl (Publication date: 2014-09-30)

The objective of this paper is to analyse and explain the factors behind the observed differences in skill mismatches -vertical and horizontal-, between natives and immigrants in EU countries. Using microdata from the 2007 ...

Factor Accumulation, Externalities and Absorptive Capacity in Regional Growth : Evidence from Europe [WP] 

Jung, Juan; López-Bazo, Enrique (Publication date: 2014-09-22)

This paper proposes a model which incorporates capital accumulation and spatial spillovers across economies, while allowing for regional differences in absorptive abilities. This model is estimated using a sample of 215 ...

Regional wage gaps, education, and informality in an emerging country. The case of Colombia [WP] 

Herrera-Idárraga, Paula; López-Bazo, Enrique; Motellón Corral, Elisabet (Publication date: 2015-02-04)

This paper uses Colombian micro-data to analyze the role of education and informality on regional wage differentials. Our hypothesis is that apart from differences in the endowment of human capital across regions, regional ...

What drives the spatial wage premium for formal and informal workers? The case of Ecuador [WP] 

Matano, Alessia; Obaco Álvarez, Moisés Lenyn; Royuela Mora, Vicente (Publication date: 2018-09-27)

This article investigates the incidence of agglomeration externalities in a typical developing country, Ecuador. In particular, we analyze the role of the informal sector within these relations, since informal employment ...

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