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Título: | Bayesian trend analysis for daily rainfall series of Barcelona |
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Autor/a: | Ortego Martínez, María Isabel; Gibergans Baguena, José; Tolosana-Delgado, R.; Egozcue Rubí, Juan José; Llasat Botija, María del Carmen |
Otros autores: | Universitat de Barcelona |
Abstract: | A Point-Over-Threshold approach using a reparameterization of the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) has been used to assess changes in the daily rainfall Barcelona series (1854-2006). A Bayesian approach, considering the suitable scale and physical features of the phenomenon, has been used to look for these alterations. Two different models have been assessed: existence of abrupt changes in the new GPD parameters due to modifications of the observatory locations and trends in these GPD parameters, pointing to a climate change scenario. |
Materia(s): | -Estadística bayesiana -Precipitacions (Meteorologia) -Barcelona (Catalunya) -Bayesian statistical decision -Precipitations (Meteorology) -Barcelona (Catalonia) |
Derechos: | cc-by (c) Ortego Martínez, María Isabel et al., 2010
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es |
Tipo de documento: | Artículo Artículo - Versión publicada |
Editor: | European Geosciences Union (EGU) |
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