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An analysis of the Okun´s law for the Spanish provinces
Melguizo Cháfer, Celia
The inverse relationship between unemployment and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, commonly known as Okun’s law, has been traditionally analysed in the economic literature. Its application for Spain has been carried out at the national level or for the autonomous communities but it has not been analysed for provinces, the territorial level closer to local labour markets. This study analyses this relationship during the period spanning from 1985 to 2011. After testing the time series properties of provincial GDP and unemployment, we specify statiic and dynamic versions of the Okun’s law using VAR and PVAR techniques. Both static and dynamic analyses lead us to determine that provinces show large differences in their unemployment sensitivity to GDP shocks. In particular, provinces where economic activity is concentrated and Southern provinces are those suffering from higher cyclical variations in unemployment rates.
-Atur
-Producte interior brut
-Mercat de treball
-Cicles econòmics
-Condicions econòmiques
-Unemployment
-Gross domestic product
-Labor market
-Business cycles
-Economic conditions
cc-by-nc-nd, (c) Melguizo, 2015
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/
Documento de trabajo
Universitat de Barcelona. Institut de Recerca en Economia Aplicada Regional i Pública
         

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Melguizo Cháfer, Celia; Royuela Mora, Vicente; Xarxa de Referència en Economia Aplicada (XREAP)