2026-04-17T16:11:31Zhttps://recercat.cat/oai/request

oai:recercat.cat:2445/2181312025-12-05T05:56:59Zcom_2072_1057col_2072_478917col_2072_478919

Convergence and divergence in mortality: A global study from 1990 to 2030.  Atance, David Claramunt Bielsa, M. Mercè Varea, Javier Aburto, José Manuel Convergència (Matemàtica) Mortalitat Investigació Convergence Mortality Research An empirical question that has motivated demographers is whether there is convergence or divergence in mortality/longevity around the world. The epidemiological transition is the starting point for studying a global process of mortality convergence. This manuscript aims to provide an update on the concept of mortality convergence/divergence. We perform a comprehensive examination of nine different mortality indicators from a global perspective using clustering methods in the period 1990-2030. In addition, we include analyses of projections to provide insights into prospective trajectories of convergence clubs, a dimension unexplored in previous work. The results indicate that mortality convergence clubs of 194 countries by sex resemble the configuration of continents. These five clubs show a common steady upward trend in longevity indicators, accompanied by a progressive reduction in disparities between sexes and between groups of countries. Furthermore, this paper shows insights into the historical evolution of the convergence clubs in the period 1990-2020 and expands their scope to include projections of their expected future evolution in 2030. 2025-01-29T11:59:49Z 2025-01-29T11:59:49Z 2024-01-17 2025-01-29T11:59:49Z info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Reproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0295842 PLoS One, 2024, vol. 19, num.1, p. 1-25 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0295842 cc-by (c) Atance D. et al., 2024 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Public Library of Science (PLoS) Articles publicats en revistes (Matemàtica Econòmica, Financera i Actuarial)