2026-04-17T21:28:44Zhttps://recercat.cat/oai/requestoai:recercat.cat:2445/2181312025-12-05T05:56:59Zcom_2072_1057col_2072_478917col_2072_478919
RECERCAT
author
Atance, David
author
Claramunt Bielsa, M. Mercè
author
Varea, Javier
author
Aburto, José Manuel
2025-01-29T11:59:49Z2025-01-29T11:59:49Z2024-01-172025-01-29T11:59:49Z
An empirical question that has motivated demographers is whether there is convergence or divergence in mortality/longevity around the world. The epidemiological transition is the starting point for studying a global process of mortality convergence. This manuscript aims to provide an update on the concept of mortality convergence/divergence. We perform a comprehensive examination of nine different mortality indicators from a global perspective using clustering methods in the period 1990-2030. In addition, we include analyses of projections to provide insights into prospective trajectories of convergence clubs, a dimension unexplored in previous work. The results indicate that mortality convergence clubs of 194 countries by sex resemble the configuration of continents. These five clubs show a common steady upward trend in longevity indicators, accompanied by a progressive reduction in disparities between sexes and between groups of countries. Furthermore, this paper shows insights into the historical evolution of the convergence clubs in the period 1990-2020 and expands their scope to include projections of their expected future evolution in 2030.
cc-by (c) Atance D. et al., 2024 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Convergència (Matemàtica)
Mortalitat
Investigació
Convergence
Mortality
Research
Convergence and divergence in mortality: A global study from 1990 to 2030.
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion