2026-04-17T15:53:02Zhttps://recercat.cat/oai/request

oai:recercat.cat:2445/1283632025-12-05T05:53:05Zcom_2072_1057col_2072_478808col_2072_478917

00925njm 22002777a 4500 dc Uribe Gil, Jorge Mario author Guillén, Montserrat author Mosquera-López, Stephania author 2019-02-18T10:28:34Z 2022-08-31T05:10:21Z 2018-08 2019-02-18T10:28:35Z Wemeasure the directional predictability between electricity and natural gas prices at different quantiles of their respective price distributions. This reveals significant nonlinearities in the relationship that characterizes the interconnected gas and electricity markets of both NewEngland and Pennsylvania-NewJersey-Maryland.Weidentify a double causality fromgas to electricity and vice versa,which increases as their respectivemarket prices rise. In general, this causality is decidedly higher for both price sets at market values at and above their median. The feedback effect fromelectricity to gas is stronger in the case of NewEngland -where 50% of the power generation mix comprises natural-gas-fired plants - than it is in the case of Pennsylvania-NewJersey-Maryland - where only 24% of the generation mix relies on natural gas sources. Indústria del gas Indústries elèctriques Política de preus Programació no lineal Gas industry Electric industries Prices policy Nonlinear programming Uncovering the nonlinear predictive causality between natural gas and electricity prices