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oai:recercat.cat:2445/1154632025-12-04T21:20:10Zcom_2072_1057col_2072_478859col_2072_478917

Divorce and the business cycle: a cross-country analysis González-Val, Rafael Marcén, Miriam Divorci Atur Cicles econòmics Divorce Unemployment Business cycles In this paper, we examine the role of the business cycle in divorce. To do so, we use a panel of 29 European countries covering the period from 1991 to 2012. We find the unemployment rate negatively affects the divorce rate, pointing to a pro-cyclical evolution of the divorce rate, even after controlling for socio-economic variables and unobservable characteristics that can vary by country, and/or over time. Results indicate that a onepercentage-point increase in the unemployment rate involves almost 0.025 fewer divorces per thousand inhabitants. The impact is small, representing around 1.2% of the average divorce rate in Europe during the period considered. Supplementary analysis, developed to explore a possible non-linear pattern, confirms a negative relationship between unemployment and divorce in European countries, with the inverse relationship being more pronounced in those countries with higher divorce rates. 2017-09-15T12:29:22Z 2017-09-15T12:29:22Z 2015 info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper https://hdl.handle.net/2445/115463 eng Reproducció del document publicat a: http://www.ieb.ub.edu/2012022157/ieb/ultimes-publicacions IEB Working Paper 2015/34 cc-by-nc-nd, (c) González-Val, et al., 2015 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess 55 p. application/pdf Institut d’Economia de Barcelona IEB (Institut d’Economia de Barcelona) – Working Papers