2026-04-13T02:01:46Zhttps://recercat.cat/oai/request

oai:recercat.cat:20.500.12327/5122025-10-22T11:00:31Zcom_2072_4428com_2072_4427col_2072_487898

00925njm 22002777a 4500 dc Kipling, R.P. author Topp, C.F.E. author Bannink, A. author Bartley, D.J. author Blanco-Penedo, I. author Cortignani, R. author del Prado, A. author Dono, G. author Faverdin, P. author Graux, A.-I. author Hutchings, N.J. author Lauwers, L. author Özkan Gülzari, Ş. author Reidsma, P. author Rolinski, S. author Ruiz-Ramos, M. author Sandars, D.L. author Sándor, R. author Schönhart, M. author Seddaiu, G. author van Middelkoop, J. author Shrestha, S. author Weindl, I. author Eory, V. author 2019-07-29 Modelling is key to adapting agriculture to climate change (CC), facilitating evaluation of the impacts and efficacy of adaptation measures, and the design of optimal strategies. Although there are many challenges to modelling agricultural CC adaptation, it is unclear whether these are novel or, whether adaptation merely adds new motivations to old challenges. Here, qualitative analysis of modellers’ views revealed three categories of challenge: Content, Use, and Capacity. Triangulation of findings with reviews of agricultural modelling and Climate Change Risk Assessment was then used to highlight challenges specific to modelling adaptation. These were refined through literature review, focussing attention on how the progressive nature of CC affects the role and impact of modelling. Specific challenges identified were: Scope of adaptations modelled, Information on future adaptation, Collaboration to tackle novel challenges, Optimisation under progressive change with thresholds, and Responsibility given the sensitivity of future outcomes to initial choices under progressive change. Kipling, R.P., C.F.E. Topp, A. Bannink, D.J. Bartley, I. Blanco-Penedo, R. Cortignani, and A. del Prado et al. 2019. "To What Extent Is Climate Change Adaptation A Novel Challenge For Agricultural Modellers?". Environmental Modelling & Software 120: 104492. Elsevier BV. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.104492. 1364-8152 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12327/512 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.104492 To what extent is climate change adaptation a novel challenge for agricultural modellers?