In the context of open inflation, we calculate the probability distribution for the density parameter $\Omega$. A large class of two field models of open inflation do not lead to infinite open universes, but to an ensemble of inflating islands of finite size, or ``quasi-open'' universes, where the density parameter takes a range of values. Assuming we are typical observers, the models make definite predictions for the value $\Omega$ we are most likely to observe. When compared with observations, these predictions can be used to constrain the parameters of the models. We also argue that obsevers should not be surprised to find themselves living at the time when curvature is about to dominate.