Title:
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Reduction of the uncertainty in the frequency calculation in port accidents through fuzzy logic
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Author:
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González Dan, José Roberto; Darbra Roman, Rosa Maria
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Other authors:
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Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament d'Enginyeria Química; Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. CERTEC - Centre d'Estudis del Risc Tecnològic |
Abstract:
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Seaports play a very important role in the international
commerce. They have influence on very large geographical
areas and carry out very complex operations with large
volumes of goods. Maintaining high efficiency in the transportation
of goods as well as a low level of risk within the
port area is very important. In order to reduce this risk, it is
necessary to analyze the different components of the risk
assessment: frequency and consequences. These two
parameters are influenced by numerous and imprecise
factors. In the present work, an analysis of the principal
uncertainty sources present in the calculation of the frequency
rate for a maritime accident is presented. Taking
into consideration the variables that can influence the
frequency and a standard value of this parameter, a modification
is made in order to get better assessment of the
frequency of accidents in ports. The developed method is
based on a fuzzy modifier which reduces the uncertainty
in the seaports accident frequency, |
Subject(s):
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-Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria química -Transport marítim -- Mesures de seguretat -Mercaderies perilloses -- Transport marítim |
Rights:
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Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Spain
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/ |
Document type:
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Article - Published version Article |
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