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Title:
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Short-term demand forecasting for real-time operational control of the Barcelona water transport network
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Author:
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Quevedo Casín, Joseba Jokin; Saludes Closa, Jordi; Puig Cayuela, Vicenç; Blanch i Font, Jordi
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Other authors:
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Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament d'Enginyeria de Sistemes, Automàtica i Informàtica Industrial; Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament de Matemàtica Aplicada II; Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. SAC - Sistemes Avançats de Control; Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. SIC - Sistemes Intel·ligents de Control |
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Abstract:
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This paper focuses on the forecast of the hourly
water demand data of distinct pressure floors of the Barcelona
water transport network. Several methods to forecast the
hourly water demand are studied and compared with the aim
of being applied for the operational control of the Barcelona
water transport network. The short-term forecast of the
intraday series has a main feature: the double periodicity (daily
and hourly). To address this issue several extensions of the
classical time-series forecasting methods are proposed: seasonal
ARIMA, structural models and the exponential methods
without external information. The paper focuses on the daily
and hourly forecasts. In the hourly forecast, the exponential
smoothing method is the most accurate. On the hand, the
seasonal ARIMA and the exponential smoothing are similar in
the daily time scale. |
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Abstract:
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Peer Reviewed |
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Subject(s):
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-Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Informàtica::Automàtica i control
-Exponential smoothing methods
-Short-term forecasting
-Internal model control
-Automation
-Aigua -- Abastament -- Gestió
-Automatització |
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Rights:
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Document type:
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Article - Published version
Conference Object |
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